← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sun, Mar 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Club Brugge win | 20% | 4.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Club Brugge −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Club Brugge |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ike Ugbo · Club Brugge |
| 67' | 🟨 | Roman Yaremchuk · Gent |
| 81' | ⚽ | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sven Kums · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 110.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1595.04 | 1629.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.58 | 0.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| league points | 52.00 | 99.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 0.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 0.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 27.89 | 22.39 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |