← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Fri, Mar 19, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Standard win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Genk −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Jhon Lucumí · Genk |
| 44' | 🟨 | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 52' | ⚽ | João Klauss · Standard |
| 59' | ⚽ | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 62' | 🟨 | Damjan Pavlović · Standard |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hugo Siquet · Standard |
| 72' | ⚽ | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jackson Muleka · Standard |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jackson Muleka · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Laifis · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Luminus Arena |
| coach days | 138.00 | 291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 4.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1615.34 | 1564.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.10 | -47.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 52.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 12.00 | 12.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.17 | 24.22 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | 1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |