← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sun, Mar 7, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Club Brugge win | 24% | 4.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 20' | 🟨 | Jean Marcelin · Club Brugge |
| 24' | ⚽ | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 27' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 37' | 🟨 | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 39' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 39' | 🟥 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 87' | 🟨 | Strahinja Pavlović · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Luminus Arena |
| coach days | 126.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1601.28 | 1639.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.35 | 39.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 70.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 49.00 | 95.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 0.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 23.79 | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.22 | 1.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |