← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sat, Mar 6, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Dierick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Kortrijk win | 25% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Antwerp −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟥 | Abdoulaye Seck · Antwerp |
| 27' | 🟨 | Julien De Sart · Kortrijk |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Lior Refaelov · Antwerp |
| 55' | ⚽ | Maxime Le Marchand · Antwerp |
| 56' | ⚽ | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 67' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Kortrijk |
| 72' | ⚽ | Didier Lamkel Zé · Antwerp |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dieumerci Mbokani · Antwerp |
| 85' | ⚽ | Birger Verstraete · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 64.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1620.43 | 1482.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -51.76 | 12.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 57.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 77.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 26.92 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |