← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sun, Feb 28, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Standard win | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Kemar Lawrence · Anderlecht |
| 23' | ⚽ | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
| 42' | 🟨 | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mehdi Carcela-González · Standard |
| 62' | 🟨 | Paul Omo Mukairu · Anderlecht |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nicolas Gavory · Standard |
| 71' | 🟨 | Merveille Bokadi · Standard |
| 71' | ⚽ | Kemar Lawrence · Anderlecht |
| 83' | ⚽ | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dauda Mohammed · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.08 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| 272.00 |
| 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 4.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1593.26 | 1594.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.63 | -12.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 48.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.16 | 23.83 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | 1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |