← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sun, Feb 21, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.50 |
| Beerschot VA win | 18% | 5.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA −1 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Genk −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Stipe Radić · Beerschot VA |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ryan Sanusi · Beerschot VA |
| 65' | ⚽ | Jan Van den Bergh · Beerschot VA |
| 66' | 🟨 | Théo Bongonda · Genk |
| 81' | 🟨 | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Raphael Holzhauser · Beerschot VA |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tom Pietermaat · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Luminus Arena |
| 112.00 |
| 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1603.38 | 1527.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.10 | 1.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.73 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.79 | 27.25 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.72 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |