← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Mon, Feb 15, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.05 |
| Royal Excel Mouscron win | 16% | 6.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Excel Mouscron −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Gent −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Roman Yaremchuk · Gent |
| 65' | 🟨 | Saad Agouzoul · Royal Excel Mouscron |
| 70' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 85' | ⚽ | Roman Yaremchuk · Gent |
| 88' | 🟨 | Elisha Owusu · Gent |
| 90' | ⚽ | Roman Yaremchuk · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Royal Excel Mouscron |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 76.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1612.63 | 1476.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.53 | -2.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| league points | 45.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | — |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 38.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 26.08 |
| state index | 0.65 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.04 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |