← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sun, Feb 7, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 |
| AS Eupen win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| AS Eupen −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
| 27' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 30' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 40' | 🟨 | Dino Arslanagić · Gent |
| 63' | 🟨 | Andreas Hanche-Olsen · Gent |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Roman Yaremchuk · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Niklas Dorsch · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonathan Heris · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stef Peeters · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 68.00 | 617.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1617.45 | 1494.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.77 | 3.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 44.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | — |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.01 | — |
| state index | 0.76 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |