← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Fri, Feb 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Royal Excel Mouscron win | 31% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Excel Mouscron +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Kortrijk |
| 36' | 🟨 | Serge Tabekou · Royal Excel Mouscron |
| 42' | ⚽ | Ante Palaversa · Kortrijk |
| 44' | 🟨 | Alessandro Ciranni · Royal Excel Mouscron |
| 50' | 🟨 | Timothy Derijck · Kortrijk |
| 63' | 🟥 | El Hadji Gueye · Royal Excel Mouscron |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Royal Excel Mouscron | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Le Canonnier |
| 127.00 |
| 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1498.07 | 1470.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.61 | -45.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 29.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 17.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |