← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, May 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastien Dechepy, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Caen win | 25% | 3.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Clermont +0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟥 | Loup Hervieu · Caen |
| 82' | ⚽ | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 89' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bayo · Clermont |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 592.00 | 3240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1389.53 | 1637.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.04 | 22.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 39.00 | 75.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.10 | 27.88 |
| state index | -1.19 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.17 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |