← Ligue 2 2020 · Wed, May 12, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Willy Delajod, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Pau FC win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pau FC −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Toulouse FC |
| 22' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Pau FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Ruben Gabrielsen · Toulouse FC |
| 46' | ⚽ | Erwin Koffi · Pau FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Pau FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Dembele · Pau FC |
| 54' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Toulouse FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Manu Koné · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 345.00 | 315.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1570.46 | 1461.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.63 | 22.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | — |
| league points | 70.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 3.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.09 | 26.92 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |