← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, May 8, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Mathieu Vernice, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
| Valenciennes win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Eric Vandenabeele · Valenciennes |
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Romain Basque · Le Havre AC |
| 10' | ⚽ | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 31' | ⚽ | Aymen Boutoutaou · Valenciennes |
| 42' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Le Havre AC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ismael Doukouré · Valenciennes |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 65' | ⚽ | Romain Basque · Le Havre AC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mamadou Fofana · Le Havre AC |
| 89' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 10 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 707.00 | 677.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1457.61 | 1434.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.23 | -23.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| league points | 49.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.06 | 26.33 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |