← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, May 8, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Gael Angoula, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Ajaccio win | 25% | 3.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Ajaccio +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Warren Caddy · Paris FC |
| 27' | 🟥 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 39' | ⚽ | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 55' | 🟨 | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mohamed Youssouf · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 311.00 | 493.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1454.24 | 1537.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.56 | 4.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 44.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.23 | 29.52 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |