← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, May 8, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 62% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.99 |
| Chateauroux win | 13% | 7.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Chateauroux −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Guessouma Fofana · Guingamp |
| 33' | 🟨 | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 53' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 66' | 🟨 | Prince Ibara · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 7.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1478.09 | 1320.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.60 | -12.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 29.18 | 25.15 |
| state index | 0.34 | -1.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 1.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |