← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, May 4, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 47% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Le Havre AC win | 23% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Toulouse FC +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 28' | ⚽ | Manu Koné · Toulouse FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 60' | 🟥 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ruben Gabrielsen · Toulouse FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Sébastien Dewaest · Toulouse FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Khalid Boutaïb · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 673.00 | 337.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1442.53 | 1554.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.83 | -13.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 3.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 23.23 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |