← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, May 1, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Caen win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| AJ Auxerre +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Aloys Fouda · Caen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ousoumane Camara · AJ Auxerre |
| 85' | 🟨 | François Bellugou · AJ Auxerre |
| 86' | 🟨 | Brahim Traoré · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 578.00 | 670.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1395.18 | 1519.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.32 | 8.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 38.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.40 | 28.56 |
| state index | -1.21 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |