← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Toulouse FC win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Florian Martin · Paris FC |
| 16' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Toulouse FC |
| 22' | 🟨 | Moustapha Name · Paris FC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Bafodé Diakité · Toulouse FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Amine Adli · Toulouse FC |
| 86' | ⚽ | Moustapha Name · Paris FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Saïd Arab · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty |
| coach days | 486.00 | 334.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1522.86 | 1568.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.28 | 8.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 58.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 13.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.58 | 25.80 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |