← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Apr 24, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Caen win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Sochaux −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 20' | 🟨 | Bryan Soumaré · Sochaux |
| 35' | 🟨 | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Chris Bedia · Sochaux |
| 78' | 🟨 | Salem M'Bakata · Sochaux |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sochaux | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Auguste-Bonal |
| coach days | 875.00 | 571.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1496.04 | 1401.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.96 | -17.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| league points | 51.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 26.95 |
| state index | -0.41 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.13 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |