← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Apr 24, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Abdelatif Kherradji, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟥 | Eric Vandenabeele · Valenciennes |
| 64' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 68' | 🟨 | Bradley Matufueni M'bondo · Niort |
| 71' | ⚽ | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
| 79' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaba Kankava · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.10 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 693.00 | 327.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1441.01 | 1351.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.09 | -39.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -1.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| league points | 45.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| squad age | 25.39 | 23.96 |
| state index | -0.72 | -1.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.15 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |