← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Apr 24, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Karim Abed, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Amiens win | 20% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 6' | 🟨 | Nathan Monzango · Amiens |
| 25' | ⚽ | Cheick Timite · Amiens |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 48' | ⚽ | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 61' | 🟨 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 61' | 🟥 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adama Diakhaby · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.31 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 297.00 | 205.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1452.18 | 1503.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.79 | 6.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.50 |
| league points | 42.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 24.48 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |