← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Apr 24, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Guingamp win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Paris FC +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.63 |
| Over | 40% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Belaud · Paris FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ronny Rodelin · Guingamp |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Lebogang Phiri · Guingamp |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jacques-Alaixys Romao · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 11 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 82.00 | 479.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1455.08 | 1523.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.24 | 1.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 37.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.03 | 28.86 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |