← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Apr 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Dunkerque win | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Caen −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 46' | 🟨 | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 60' | 🟨 | Steeve Yago · Caen |
| 63' | 🟨 | Guillaume Bosca · Dunkerque |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 69' | 🟨 | Kevin Mbala · Caen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andreas Hountondji · Caen |
| 88' | 🟥 | Rémy Riou · Caen |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Emeric Dudouit · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 567.00 | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1401.65 | 1438.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.75 | 1.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 37.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.88 | 28.45 |
| state index | -1.06 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |