← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Apr 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Aly Abeid · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Arnaud Lusamba · Amiens |
| 62' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Arnaud Lusamba · Amiens |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ismael Doukouré · Valenciennes |
| 80' | 🟨 | Stephen Odey · Amiens |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mickaël Alphonse · Amiens |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stephen Odey · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 25 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 201.00 | 689.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1492.84 | 1451.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.07 | -39.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| league points | 43.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.75 | 26.56 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |