← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Apr 17, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Gael Angoula, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Guingamp +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Lebogang Phiri · Guingamp |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mathis Picouleau · Valenciennes |
| 48' | ⚽ | Ronny Rodelin · Guingamp |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Guingamp |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
| 85' | 🟨 | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 686.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1464.27 | 1435.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.47 | 10.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 45.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.18 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |