← Ligue 2 2020 · Mon, Apr 12, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Guingamp win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 37' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 40' | 🟨 | Manu Koné · Toulouse FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sam Sanna · Toulouse FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Guingamp |
| 71' | 🟨 | Philipe Sampaio · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 70.00 | 315.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1433.50 | 1567.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.36 | 7.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 30.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.20 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 9.03 | 9.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 29.12 | 25.04 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |