← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Apr 10, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillaume Paradis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.89 |
| Ajaccio win | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0 | 56% | 1.75 |
| Ajaccio +0 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Ajaccio |
| 31' | 🟨 | Gedeon Kalulu · Ajaccio |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Ajaccio |
| 61' | 🟨 | Nabil Alioui · Le Havre AC |
| 74' | ⚽ | Tairyk Arconte · Ajaccio |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 649.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1457.60 | 1449.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.48 | -8.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 38.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 4.97 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.01 | 27.84 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |