← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 36% | 2.78 |
| Caen win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Caen +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 9' | ⚽ | Guevin Tormin · Chateauroux |
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Romain Grange · Chateauroux |
| 28' | ⚽ | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 33' | 🟨 | Nama Fofana · Chateauroux |
| 34' | 🟨 | Nicholas Gioacchini · Caen |
| 38' | 🟨 | Yannick M'Bone · Chateauroux |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ylyas Chouaref · Chateauroux |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alexis Beka Beka · Caen |
| 67' | 🟨 | Remi Mulumba · Chateauroux |
| 79' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johann Lepenant · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit |
| coach days | 19.00 | 536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1334.56 | 1419.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.26 | -33.92 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.37 | 27.65 |
| state index | -1.15 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |