← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Gautier Lloris · AJ Auxerre |
| 32' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · AJ Auxerre |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 62' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Birama Touré · AJ Auxerre |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jaba Kankava · Valenciennes |
| 86' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ismael Doukouré · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 658.00 | 628.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1475.10 | 1510.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.12 | -10.36 |
| eye test v1 | -1.11 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.83 |
| league points | 41.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.37 | 28.42 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |