← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillaume Paradis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Rodez win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Guingamp −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | David Douline · Rodez |
| 57' | ⚽ | Guessouma Fofana · Guingamp |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jordan Leborgne · Rodez |
| 82' | ⚽ | Jordan Leborgne · Rodez |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jacques-Alaixys Romao · Guingamp |
| 86' | 🟨 | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 47.00 | 2089.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1443.88 | 1467.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.53 | 30.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 69.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | -1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.69 | 27.01 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -1.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |