← Ligue 2 2020 · Mon, Mar 15, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Caen win | 31% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Caen +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Nabil Alioui · Le Havre AC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
| 33' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 70' | ⚽ | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Abdelwahed Wahib · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Elies Mahmoud · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 531.00 | 623.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1436.23 | 1453.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.92 | -16.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| league points | 35.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 13.03 | 13.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.72 | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |