← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Mar 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Mathieu Vernice, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Valenciennes win | 20% | 4.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 46' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 61' | 🟨 | David Douline · Rodez |
| 66' | ⚽ | Florian David · Rodez |
| 69' | ⚽ | Ugo Bonnet · Rodez |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Florian David · Rodez |
| 77' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · Valenciennes |
| 83' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 2 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 2082.00 | 651.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1451.23 | 1491.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.47 | -8.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.90 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 33.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.81 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.71 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |