← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Mar 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Guingamp win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Guingamp −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Guessouma Fofana · Guingamp |
| 51' | 🟨 | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 53' | 🟨 | Philipe Sampaio · Guingamp |
| 58' | 🟨 | El-Hadji Ba · Guingamp |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ismaël Diallo · Ajaccio |
| 73' | 🟨 | Cyrille Bayala · Ajaccio |
| 78' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 87' | 🟨 | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 255.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1462.50 | 1424.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.59 | -7.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| league points | 35.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 28.20 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |