← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Mar 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Chateauroux win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Romain Grange · Chateauroux |
| 27' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Pau FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Christopher Operi · Chateauroux |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
| 56' | 🟨 | Scotty Sadzoute · Pau FC |
| 58' | ⚽ | Mayron George · Pau FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Prince Ibara · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 25 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Municipal du Hameau |
| coach days | 244.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1412.70 | 1334.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.59 | -5.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.50 |
| league points | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.62 | 25.52 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |