← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Mar 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Karim Abed, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
| Dunkerque win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Dunkerque −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Belaud · Paris FC |
| 28' | 🟨 | Harouna Sy · Dunkerque |
| 45' | 🟨 | Charles Boli · Paris FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ilan Kebbal · Dunkerque |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Laura · Paris FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty |
| coach days | 426.00 | 305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1498.41 | 1437.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.62 | -13.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 44.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 27.87 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |