← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Mar 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| Caen win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Nancy −0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Nancy |
| 14' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mickaël Biron · Nancy |
| 81' | 🟨 | Yoël Armougom · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 610.00 | 518.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1450.45 | 1444.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.89 | -5.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| league points | 31.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.56 | 23.12 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |