← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Mar 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Rodez win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Rodez −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.46 |
| Over | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Ayoub Ouhafsa · Rodez |
| 54' | 🟨 | Amiran Sanaia · Rodez |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
| 61' | 🟨 | Cyrille Bayala · Ajaccio |
| 62' | 🟨 | Mounaim El Idrissy · Ajaccio |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alexis Peyrelade · Rodez |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tony Njike · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 244.00 | 2071.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1454.05 | 1459.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.81 | 38.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 68.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 32.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 38.00 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -1.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.05 | 26.66 |
| state index | -0.76 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |