← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Eric Wattellier, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Amiens win | 21% | 4.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Amiens |
| 39' | 🟨 | Racine Coly · Amiens |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 86' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 271.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1560.16 | 1491.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.56 | -26.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -1.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 51.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 5.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 24.29 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |