← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Rodez win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Rodez +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Remy Boissier · Rodez |
| 41' | ⚽ | Ugo Bonnet · Rodez |
| 78' | 🟨 | Amiran Sanaia · Rodez |
| 78' | 🟨 | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Toulouse FC |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jordan Leborgne · Rodez |
| 84' | 🟨 | Amine Adli · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Steven Moreira · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 2061.00 | 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1433.65 | 1572.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.93 | 12.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.70 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 27.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.18 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |