← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Chateauroux win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Paris FC −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Leo Leroy · Chateauroux |
| 39' | 🟨 | Christopher Operi · Chateauroux |
| 48' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 69' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Paris FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Remi Mulumba · Chateauroux |
| 84' | 🟥 | Philippe Keny · Chateauroux |
| 88' | 🟨 | Warren Caddy · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty |
| coach days | 416.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1476.49 | 1356.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.57 | 14.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 38.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.15 | 23.91 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |