← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.21 |
| Pau FC win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Niort −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Anthony Scaramozzino · Pau FC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Niort |
| 40' | ⚽ | Pape Ibnou Ba · Niort |
| 45' | ⚽ | Olivier Kemen · Niort |
| 59' | ⚽ | Mayron George · Pau FC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Lenny Vallier · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade René Gaillard |
| coach days | 264.00 | 234.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1387.72 | 1405.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.42 | 18.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 62.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -2.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.35 | 27.05 |
| state index | -1.02 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |