← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Jerome Miguelgorry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Grenoble win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Grenoble +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 36' | 🟨 | Charles Pickel · Grenoble |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Nancy |
| 90' | ⚽ | Moussa Djitté · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 600.00 | 995.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1442.97 | 1542.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.04 | 12.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 28.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 27.92 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |