← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Feb 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Le Havre AC win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Le Havre AC +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Mario Jason Kikonda · Paris FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Axel Bamba · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 586.00 | 402.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1469.95 | 1485.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.04 | -5.76 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 27.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 27.31 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |