← Ligue 2 2020 · Fri, Feb 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillaume Paradis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 40% | 2.50 |
| Niort win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Chateauroux +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.86 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Prince Ibara · Chateauroux |
| 25' | 🟨 | Prince Ibara · Chateauroux |
| 49' | 🟨 | Philippe Keny · Chateauroux |
| 56' | 🟨 | Remi Mulumba · Chateauroux |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Sory Conté · Niort |
| 68' | ⚽ | Bilal Boutobba · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade René Gaillard |
| coach days | 249.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1397.09 | 1362.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.24 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.70 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.47 | 24.53 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |