← Ligue 2 2020 · Fri, Feb 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Valenciennes win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Grenoble +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | David Henen · Grenoble |
| 31' | 🟨 | Loris Néry · Grenoble |
| 49' | 🟨 | Manuel Perez · Grenoble |
| 62' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jaba Kankava · Valenciennes |
| 74' | ⚽ (og) | Emmanuel Ntim · Grenoble |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 615.00 | 980.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1510.78 | 1534.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.64 | -10.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 27.37 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |