← Ligue 2 2020 · Fri, Feb 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Pau FC win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Nancy −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ousmane Cissokho · Nancy |
| 66' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
| 80' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid El Kaoutari · Nancy |
| 81' | 🟥 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
| 82' | 🟨 | Warren Bondo · Nancy |
| 89' | 🟨 | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 585.00 | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1422.72 | 1412.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.93 | 11.93 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| league points | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -1.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.91 | 27.39 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |