← Ligue 2 2020 · Fri, Feb 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Dunkerque win | 20% | 4.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Guingamp |
| 39' | 🟨 | Alioune Ba · Dunkerque |
| 54' | 🟨 | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 68' | 🟨 | Demba Thiam · Dunkerque |
| 75' | 🟥 | Emeric Dudouit · Dunkerque |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ilan Kebbal · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Axel Maraval · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 4.00 | 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1432.62 | 1448.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.39 | -2.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| league points | 22.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.20 | 27.50 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |