← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Feb 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Nancy win | 30% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Nancy +0 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.42 |
| Over | 33% | 2.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Nancy |
| 38' | 🟨 | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
| 49' | ⚽ | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nabil Alioui · Le Havre AC |
| 85' | ⚽ (og) | Ernest Seka · Le Havre AC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Sega Coulibaly · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 582.00 | 582.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1473.10 | 1419.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.21 | 11.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| league points | 26.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 25.94 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |