← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Feb 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillaume Paradis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Toulouse FC win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Toulouse FC +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
| 42' | ⚽ | Axel Ngando · AJ Auxerre |
| 77' | ⚽ | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
| 80' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Deiver Machado · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Quentin Bernard · AJ Auxerre |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 582.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1504.71 | 1569.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.29 | 39.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.50 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 39.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.18 | 25.03 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |