← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Jan 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Niort win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Niort +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Woyo Coulibaly · Le Havre AC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Bryan Passi · Niort |
| 35' | 🟥 | Mathieu Gorgelin · Le Havre AC |
| 38' | 🟨 | Olivier Kemen · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade René Gaillard |
| coach days | 243.00 | 579.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1392.24 | 1473.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.44 | -10.72 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| league points | 27.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.64 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.38 | 28.46 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |