← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Jan 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Mathieu Vernice, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 46% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Dunkerque win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.82 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
| 39' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alioune Ba · Dunkerque |
| 69' | 🟨 | Redouane Kerrouche · Dunkerque |
| 78' | 🟨 | Billy Ketkeophomphone · Dunkerque |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jaba Kankava · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 609.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1503.75 | 1458.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.43 | 2.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 32.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 36.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.03 | 27.31 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |